{"id":496061,"date":"2023-12-06T13:18:45","date_gmt":"2023-12-06T16:18:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/?p=496061"},"modified":"2023-12-06T13:24:52","modified_gmt":"2023-12-06T16:24:52","slug":"vale-vale3-btg-pactual-gpj","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/vale-vale3-btg-pactual-gpj\/","title":{"rendered":"Vale (VALE3): grande avan\u00e7o patrimonial dever\u00e1 ocorrer em 2026, diz BTG Pactual. E em 2024?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Em relat\u00f3rio divulgado ap\u00f3s o Investor Day da <strong>Vale\u00a0<\/strong>(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/acoes\/vale3\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">VALE3<\/a>), analistas do <a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/acoes\/BPAC11\/\">BTG Pactual (BPAC11)<\/a> consideram que o grande avan\u00e7o na hist\u00f3ria patrimonial da mineradora dever\u00e1 ocorrer apenas em 2026. <\/p>\t<div class=\"wrapper-featured-image\">\n\t\t<figure class=\"spotlightImg\">\n\n\t\t\t<picture>\n\t\t\t\t<source media=\"(max-width: 768px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2021\/02\/aff09bff-c0100329-vale-400x200.webp\">\n\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"newsContent__article__imgCapa lazyloadDisabled \" src=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2021\/02\/aff09bff-c0100329-vale-800x450.webp\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" alt=\"Vale (VALE3): grande avan\u00e7o patrimonial dever\u00e1 ocorrer em 2026, diz BTG Pactual. E em 2024?\" fetchpriority=high \/>\n\t\t\t<\/picture>\n\n\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text wp-caption-text--show\">Vale (VALE3). Foto: Divulga\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/figcaption>\n\t\t<\/figure>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\t<p>\n\t\t<a href=\"\" target=\"_blank\" data-element=\"shortcode-suno-banner\" title=\"Banner SUNO, clique e saiba mais\">\n\t\t\t<picture>\n\t\t\t\t<source media=\"(max-width: 500px)\" srcset=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t<img class=\"newsContent__article__imgCapa newsContent__article__imgCapa--banner\"\n\t\t\t\t\tsrc=\"\"\n\t\t\t\t\tdata-promo-id=\"250706\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\talt=\"\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t<\/picture>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;O grande avan\u00e7o na<strong> <\/strong>hist\u00f3ria patrimonial da Vale (numericamente) dever\u00e1 ocorrer em 2026, com progressos tang\u00edveis no estabelecimento das bases para uma abordagem muito lucrativa pela frente&#8221;, pontuaram os analistas Leonardo Correa e Caio Greiner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No entanto, apesar de o &#8220;<strong>mercado de min\u00e9rio de ferro<\/strong> estar mais apertado no momento&#8221;, a institui\u00e7\u00e3o acredita que os <strong>lucros da Vale<\/strong> devem acelerar em 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A administra\u00e7\u00e3o da companhia acredita, tamb\u00e9m, que diversos temas apresentados durante o Investor Day devem ser traduzidos na cria\u00e7\u00e3o de valor para o <strong>acionista da Vale<\/strong>, disse o BTG. Um dos exemplos foi o acesso da Vale a uma base mais ampla de investidores e aus\u00eancia de barragens no n\u00edvel emergencial 3 at\u00e9 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que diz o BTG sobre os dividendos da Vale para 2024?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>No relat\u00f3rio, o BTG Pactual lembra que a empresa tamb\u00e9m refor\u00e7ou seu programa de efici\u00eancia de custos, trabalhando para compensar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, com uma nova orienta\u00e7\u00e3o de manter sua base de custos fixos para a unidade de<strong> min\u00e9rio de ferro<\/strong> em US$ 6,1 bilh\u00f5es (ante US$ 6,3 bilh\u00f5es em 2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;A Vale tamb\u00e9m refor\u00e7ou sua abordagem disciplinada de aloca\u00e7\u00e3o de capital, tendo pago um rendimento de dividendos de 46% desde 2020, que esperamos que permane\u00e7a no futuro&#8221;, avaliaram.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">BTG: produ\u00e7\u00e3o da Vale deve melhorar gradualmente<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Para o BTG, a Vale passou por uma s\u00e9rie de contratempos operacionais nos \u00faltimos trimestres, o que tem impactado o sentimento sobre a <strong>minerdora<\/strong>. Entretanto, o banco est\u00e1 cada vez mais confiante de que o baixo desempenho operacional da empresa ficou para tr\u00e1s e que a produ\u00e7\u00e3o\/expedi\u00e7\u00e3o, al\u00e9m do desempenho de custos, devem continuar a melhorar gradualmente. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Acreditamos que h\u00e1 muito pouca autoajuda precificada em <strong>pap\u00e9is da Vale<\/strong> neste momento. Prevemos que o quarto trimestre melhorar\u00e1 em todas as frentes: volumes, pre\u00e7os e custos, melhor impulso de lucros dentro da nossa cobertura&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A Vale tamb\u00e9m continua sendo um dos nomes preferidos do BTG para exposi\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 reacelera\u00e7\u00e3o da <strong>economia da<\/strong> <strong>China<\/strong>, \u00e0 medida que o governo se esfor\u00e7a para atingir sua meta de crescimento de aproximadamente 5% para o ano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Os pre\u00e7os do min\u00e9rio de ferro continuam se mantendo bastante bons (j\u00e1 em ~US$ 130\/tonelada), com perspectivas de demanda saud\u00e1vel por parte da ind\u00fastria sider\u00fargica chinesa. A Vale \u00e9 negociada a ~4x EV\/Ebitda 2024, e prevemos rendimentos de 12-13% para 2023\/24, incluindo recompras&#8221;, acrescentaram os analistas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O BTG tem recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o de &#8216;compra&#8217; para as <strong>a\u00e7\u00f5es da Vale<\/strong>, com pre\u00e7o-alvo a US$ 19,00 (R$ 93). Para os ADRs, o pre\u00e7o-alvo \u00e9 de US$ 14,90. Nesta quarta (6) os<strong> pap\u00e9is VALE3<\/strong> s\u00e3o negociados a R$ 73 e, em Nova York, a US$ 14,91.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\t<div data-element=\"shortcode-read-more\" class=\"readToo\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"readToo__title\">Leia mais<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"readToo__list\">\n\t\t\t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/vale-vale3-entra-carteira-dividendos-bb-evm\/\">Vale (VALE3) entra em carteira de dividendos do BB; entenda<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/vale-vale3-tribunal-acao-bhp-gpj\/\">Vale (VALE3) tem pedido negado por tribunal ingl\u00eas sobre a\u00e7\u00e3o movida pela BHP; veja<\/a><\/li>\t\t<\/ul>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vale (VALE3) prev\u00ea produ\u00e7\u00e3o de min\u00e9rio de ferro em at\u00e9 320 milh\u00f5es de toneladas em 2024<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>Vale divulgou na manh\u00e3 da \u00faltima ter\u00e7a-feira (5) que a sua produ\u00e7\u00e3o de min\u00e9rio de ferro deve encerrar 2023 em 315 milh\u00f5es de toneladas m\u00e9tricas (Mt). Para 2024, a produ\u00e7\u00e3o estimada do material \u00e9 de 310 a 320 Mt, enquanto para 2026, o volume deve ficar entre 340 a 360 Mt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Segundo a mineradora, para pelotas e briquetes, o volume esperado para este ano \u00e9 de 37 Mt. J\u00e1 no pr\u00f3ximo ano, o n\u00famero sobe para at\u00e9 42 Mt e para at\u00e9 55 Mt em 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ainda de acordo com a empresa, a<strong>&nbsp;produ\u00e7\u00e3o de n\u00edquel da Vale<\/strong>&nbsp;deve atingir 165 mil toneladas (kt) em 2023, 160 a 175 kt em 2024 e 210 a 230 kt em 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O&nbsp;<strong>volume produzido de cobre da Vale<\/strong>, por sua vez, est\u00e1 previsto em 325 kt neste ano, enquanto deve alcan\u00e7ar at\u00e9 355 kt em 2024 e at\u00e9 410 kt em 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A companhia informou, ainda, que v\u00ea o Ebitda (lucro antes de juros, impostos,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/artigos\/depreciacao-amortizacao\/\">deprecia\u00e7\u00e3o e amortiza\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a>) variando de US$ 15,2 bilh\u00f5es at\u00e9 US$ 31,0 bilh\u00f5es em 2026, dependendo dos pre\u00e7os do min\u00e9rio de ferro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J\u00e1 o rendimento do&nbsp;<strong>fluxo de caixa da Vale<\/strong>&nbsp;ao acionistas em 2026 pode variar de 5,2% at\u00e9 23,2%, conforme a mineradora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Investimentos da Vale para os pr\u00f3ximos anos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos&nbsp;<strong>investimentos da Vale<\/strong>, a mineradora projeta um capex total de aproximadamente US$ 6 bilh\u00f5es neste ano e de US$ 6,5 bilh\u00f5es em 2024 em diante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nos pr\u00f3ximos anos, a mineradora espera investir entre US$ 3,5 bilh\u00f5es e US$ 4 bilh\u00f5es ao ano em solu\u00e7\u00f5es para siderurgia e entre US$ 2,5 bilh\u00f5es a US$ 3 bilh\u00f5es em metais para transi\u00e7\u00e3o energ\u00e9tica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A Vale disse que tamb\u00e9m espera desembolsar US$ 6,3 bilh\u00f5es com gastos fixos em 2023 e US$ 6,1 bilh\u00f5es em 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para compromissos de Brumadinho<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>e Mariana, a&nbsp;<strong>Vale<\/strong>&nbsp;provisionou despesas totais de US$ 2,9 bilh\u00f5es em 2023, US$ 3 bilh\u00f5es em 2024 e 2025, US$ 1,9 bilh\u00e3o em 2026, US$ 1,3 bilh\u00e3o em 2027 e uma m\u00e9dia de US$ 400 milh\u00f5es nos anos de 2028 a 2035.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<p>\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/lp.suno.com.br\/ebook-como-analisar-uma-acao\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-element=\"shortcode-suno-banner\" title=\"Banner SUNO, clique e saiba mais\">\n\t\t\t<picture>\n\t\t\t\t<source media=\"(max-width: 500px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Ebook-Acoes-Mobile.jpg\">\n\t\t\t\t<img class=\"newsContent__article__imgCapa newsContent__article__imgCapa--banner\"\n\t\t\t\t\tsrc=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Ebook-Acoes-Desktop.jpg\"\n\t\t\t\t\tdata-promo-id=\"378302\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\twidth='1420' height='286'\t\t\t\t\talt=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Ebook-Acoes-Desktop.jpg\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t<\/picture>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Desempenho das a\u00e7\u00f5es da Vale<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"pluginQuotation\">\n  <p class=\"ticker\">\n    Cota\u00e7\u00e3o <span>VALE3<\/span>\n  <\/p>\n  <div class=\"info\">\n    <div class=\"leftSide\">\n      Gr\u00e1fico gerado em: 06\/12\/2023    <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"rightSide\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"period\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1 Dia\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t  <\/div>\n\n  <div id=\"chart-ab4b4b284d02b3fefa9a6b91905f1efa\" data-block-hash=\"ab4b4b284d02b3fefa9a6b91905f1efa\"  class=\"chart\" style=\"width:100%;height:400px;\"><\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"pluginQuotation__footer\">\n    <div class=\"dataChart\">\n\n      <div class=\"dataChart__div1 variation\">\n        <div class=\"value-negative\">\n          -0,39 (-0,29%)        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"text\">\n          Varia\u00e7\u00e3o do per\u00edodo\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"dataChart__div2 minMax\">\n        <div class=\"value\">\n          R$\u00a073,33        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"text\">\n          M\u00ednima\n        <\/div>\n      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Vale (VALE3). 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Foi editor web no Startupi e no Finsiders, atuando ainda como editor no TC Mover, portal de not\u00edcias da TradersClub, fazendo a cobertura de assuntos relacionados ao mercado financeiro interno e externo. Atualmente, \u00e9 Rep\u00f3rter do Suno Not\u00edcias.","url":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/author\/giovanni-porfiriosuno-com-br\/"}]}},"default_loop_html":"<div class=\"cardsPage__listCard__boxs\"><div class=\"cardsPage__listCard__boxs__img\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/vale-vale3-btg-pactual-gpj\/\"><img class=\"mask\" src=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-content\/themes\/suno\/resources\/images\/spotlight\/spotlight1img\/bg-mask.png\" alt=\"Image Mask\"\/><img src=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2021\/02\/aff09bff-c0100329-vale-400x200.webp\" alt=\"Vale (VALE3): grande avan\u00e7o patrimonial dever\u00e1 ocorrer em 2026, diz BTG Pactual. E em 2024?\"\/><\/a><span class=\"spotlightCategory\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/negocios\/\">Neg\u00f3cios<\/a><\/span><\/div><div class=\"cardsPage__listCard__boxs__content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/vale-vale3-btg-pactual-gpj\/\"><h2 class=\"content__title\">Vale (VALE3): grande avan\u00e7o patrimonial dever\u00e1 ocorrer em 2026, diz BTG Pactual. E em 2024?<\/h2><\/a><div class=\"newsContent__article__meta\"><div class=\"newsContent__article__meta__authorBox\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/author\/giovanni-porfiriosuno-com-br\/\" class=\"authorBox__avatar noMobi\"><img src=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2024\/05\/DSCF4115-1-1-150x150.webp\" alt=\"Giovanni Porf\u00edrio Jacomino\"><\/a><div class=\"authorBox__name\"><span>por\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/author\/giovanni-porfiriosuno-com-br\/\"><span itemprop=\"author\">Giovanni Porf\u00edrio Jacomino<\/span><\/a><\/span><time datetime=\"2023-12-06T13:18:45-03:00\" itemprop=\"datePublished\">06\/12\/2023 13:18<\/time><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","single_layout":"posts","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496061"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/313"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=496061"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496061\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":496154,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496061\/revisions\/496154"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/126963"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=496061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=496061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=496061"},{"taxonomy":"suno_strategy","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/suno_strategy?post=496061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}