{"id":133930,"date":"2021-03-23T12:37:42","date_gmt":"2021-03-23T15:37:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/?p=133930"},"modified":"2021-06-01T22:29:05","modified_gmt":"2021-06-02T01:29:05","slug":"copom-risco-fiscal-pressiona-inflacao-goldman-sachs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/copom-risco-fiscal-pressiona-inflacao-goldman-sachs\/","title":{"rendered":"Copom enxerga risco fiscal pressionando balan\u00e7o de riscos e infla\u00e7\u00e3o, diz Goldman Sachs"},"content":{"rendered":"

A ata do Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom<\/strong>)<\/a>, divulgada na manh\u00e3 desta ter\u00e7a-feira (23), demonstrou uma maior preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e a press\u00e3o que o risco fiscal faz sobre o balan\u00e7o de riscos do Banco Central (BC)<\/a>. Esse \u00e9 a vis\u00e3o do Goldman Sachs, em relat\u00f3rio enviado a clientes.<\/p>\t

\n\t\t
\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\"Copom\n\t\t\t<\/picture>\n\n\t\t\t
Copom.<\/figcaption>\n\t\t<\/figure>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n

\t

\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/picture>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/p>\n\n<\/span><\/p>\n

De acordo com a institui\u00e7\u00e3o, a ata do Copom demonstra uma situa\u00e7\u00e3o mais inc\u00f4moda com a deteriora\u00e7\u00e3o das expectativas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> para este ano — podendo contaminar 2022 — do que no p\u00f3s-reuni\u00e3o da \u00faltima semana.<\/p>\n

O comit\u00ea repetidamente diz que o n\u00edvel de v\u00e1rias medidas de n\u00facleo de infla\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 “acima da faixa compat\u00edvel com o cumprimento da meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a>“.<\/p>\n

Suno One: acesse gratuitamente eBooks, Minicursos, Artigos e V\u00eddeo Aulas sobre investimentos com um \u00fanico cadastro. Clique para saber mais!<\/a><\/p>\n

Por outro lado, o Copom demonstrou um entendimento relativamente construtivo sobre a economia brasileira. O colegiado do BC ressaltou que a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica<\/strong> tem sido mais forte do que o esperado, e que um poss\u00edvel retrocesso desse processo em fun\u00e7\u00e3o do agravamento da pandemia no Pa\u00eds seria menos grave do que a queda do ano passado.<\/p>\n

Inclusive, caso isso acontecesse, seria seguido de uma outra forte recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no segundo semestre, com os efeitos da vacina\u00e7\u00e3o no Pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\t

\n\t\t\t\tVeja tamb\u00e9m<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\tCen\u00e1rio atual j\u00e1 n\u00e3o prescreve grau de est\u00edmulo extraordin\u00e1rio, diz ata do Copom\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n

Quanto \u00e0 economia global, o comit\u00ea afirmou que a vacina\u00e7\u00e3o em massa permanece em curso, com novos est\u00edmulos fiscais<\/strong> em pa\u00edses desenvolvidos, e a comunica\u00e7\u00e3o dos Bancos Centrais das principais economias de que os est\u00edmulos monet\u00e1rios ser\u00e3o de longa dura\u00e7\u00e3o deve significar crescimento econ\u00f4mico robusto ao longo de 2021.<\/p>\n

Para o Copom, amea\u00e7a da infla\u00e7\u00e3o pode estar ligada ao aquecimento da demanda<\/h2>\n

Em relat\u00f3rio, a Ativa Investimentos<\/strong> reitera que, na vis\u00e3o do Copom, a amea\u00e7a de um descontrole na infla\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 ligada ao aquecimento da demanda e n\u00e3o do “grosso da oferta”, o que tamb\u00e9m \u00e9 considerado um aspecto hawkish<\/strong><\/a> — que v\u00ea o aumento dos pre\u00e7os o maior entrave \u00e0 economia.<\/p>\n

Para o economista-chefe da corretora, \u00c9tore Sanchez, o tom n\u00e3o poderia ser diferente ap\u00f3s a alta de 0,75 ponto percentual na taxa b\u00e1sica de juros da economia (Selic<\/strong>)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\t

\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/picture>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/p>\n\n\n

“Vale destacar que mesmo nos aspectos que poderiam ser considerados dove<\/em> a autoridade encontrou uma sa\u00edda hawk<\/em>. Como por exemplo, no tocante a atividade e a pandemia<\/strong>, que apesar de afetar fortemente o crescimento do primeiro semestre dever\u00e1 ter revers\u00e3o r\u00e1pida e robusta no segundo semestre\u201d, explica Sanchez.<\/p>\n

De acordo com o economista, o BC desenha um cen\u00e1rio mais cauteloso para conjuntura do Pa\u00eds, mas implica isso apenas em uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o do grau de est\u00edmulo. \u201cMantemos nossa avalia\u00e7\u00e3o de que a autoridade dever\u00e1 elevar o juro em 0,75 ponto percentual na pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o seguido de outras duas eleva\u00e7\u00f5es de 0,50 ponto percentual, conduzindo a Selic a 4,5% antes do t\u00e9rmino desse ano.”<\/p>\n

A pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o do Copom<\/strong> ter\u00e1 in\u00edcio no dia 4 de maio, com o an\u00fancio sobre a manuten\u00e7\u00e3o ou eleva\u00e7\u00e3o da Selic no dia 5. O consenso do mercado \u00e9 que o BC eleve a taxa em 0,50 ponto percentual, levando a Selic para 3,25%.<\/p>\n\t

\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/picture>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A ata do Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom), divulgada na manh\u00e3 desta ter\u00e7a-feira (23), demonstrou uma maior preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e a press\u00e3o que o risco fiscal faz sobre o balan\u00e7o de riscos do Banco Central (BC). Esse \u00e9 a vis\u00e3o do Goldman Sachs, em relat\u00f3rio enviado a clientes. Copom. De acordo com a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":116096,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[62],"tags":[1842,1104,105816,850,1752,290],"suno_strategy":[],"class_list":["post-133930","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","tag-banco-central-bc","tag-copom","tag-especialistas","tag-inflacao","tag-taxa-de-juros","tag-taxa-selic"],"yoast_head":"\nCopom enxerga risco fiscal pressionando balan\u00e7o de riscos e infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A ata do Copom demonstrou uma maior preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e a press\u00e3o que o risco fiscal faz sobre o balan\u00e7o de riscos. Saiba mais.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/copom-risco-fiscal-pressiona-inflacao-goldman-sachs\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Copom enxerga risco fiscal pressionando balan\u00e7o de riscos e infla\u00e7\u00e3o\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A ata do Copom demonstrou uma maior preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e a press\u00e3o que o risco fiscal faz sobre o balan\u00e7o de riscos. 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Saiba 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enxerga risco fiscal pressionando balan\u00e7o de riscos e infla\u00e7\u00e3o, diz Goldman Sachs"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/","name":"Suno Not\u00edcias","description":"Seu portal de informa\u00e7\u00e3o sobre o mundo dos investimentos","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"pt-BR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/#organization","name":"Suno 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Lazarini","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"pt-BR","@id":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3c1ad8caa51589841baeb923fcddea97?s=96&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3c1ad8caa51589841baeb923fcddea97?s=96&r=g","caption":"Jader Lazarini"},"description":"Jader Lazarini escreve sobre investimentos, finan\u00e7as, economia e neg\u00f3cios. \u00c9 bacharel em Rela\u00e7\u00f5es Internacionais e analista CNPI (2619).","url":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/author\/jader-lazarini\/"}]}},"default_loop_html":"<div class=\"cardsPage__listCard__boxs\"><div class=\"cardsPage__listCard__boxs__img\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/copom-risco-fiscal-pressiona-inflacao-goldman-sachs\/\"><img class=\"mask\" src=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-content\/themes\/suno\/resources\/images\/spotlight\/spotlight1img\/bg-mask.png\" alt=\"Image Mask\"\/><img src=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2021\/01\/0fbe371c-financas-taxas-de-juros-400x200.webp\" alt=\"Copom enxerga risco fiscal pressionando balan\u00e7o de riscos e infla\u00e7\u00e3o, diz Goldman Sachs\"\/><\/a><span class=\"spotlightCategory\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/economia\/\">Economia<\/a><\/span><\/div><div class=\"cardsPage__listCard__boxs__content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/copom-risco-fiscal-pressiona-inflacao-goldman-sachs\/\"><h2 class=\"content__title\">Copom enxerga risco fiscal pressionando balan\u00e7o de riscos e infla\u00e7\u00e3o, diz Goldman Sachs<\/h2><\/a><div class=\"newsContent__article__meta\"><div class=\"newsContent__article__meta__authorBox\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/author\/jader-lazarini\/\" class=\"authorBox__avatar noMobi\"><img src=\"https:\/\/files.sunoresearch.com.br\/n\/uploads\/2021\/01\/178e6598-foto-perfil-2-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"Jader Lazarini\"><\/a><div class=\"authorBox__name\"><span>por\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/author\/jader-lazarini\/\"><span itemprop=\"author\">Jader Lazarini<\/span><\/a><\/span><time datetime=\"2021-03-23T12:37:42-03:00\" itemprop=\"datePublished\">23\/03\/2021 12:37<\/time><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","single_layout":"posts","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133930"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=133930"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133930\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":133953,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133930\/revisions\/133953"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/116096"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=133930"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=133930"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=133930"},{"taxonomy":"suno_strategy","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.suno.com.br\/noticias\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/suno_strategy?post=133930"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}